Statistical Approaches for the Evaluation of Complex Computer Models

AGENDA

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 3

8:00 Breakfast at meeting

8:30 Welcome and Keynote---Dr. William Press, Los Alamos Deputy Director for Science, Technology, and Programs

Climate Session

9:15 Models: Robert Fovell, UCLA

Statistical Aspects: Richard Berk, UCLA

10:15 Break

10:30 Open discussion of the four questions as they relate to climate modeling

12:15 Synthesis of the discussion (by the session rapporteur)

12:30 Lunch

Wildfire Session

1:45 Models Rod Linn, LANL

Statistical Aspects: Frederic (Rick) Schoenberg, UCLA

2:45 Open discussion of the four questions as they relate to wildfire modeling

3:15 Break

3:30 Resume plenary discussion

5:00 Andrew White, LANL, Rapporteur

5:15 Adjourn

6:30 Small groups go to dinner

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 4

8:00 Breakfast at meeting

Transportation modeling

8:30 Models: Nagui Rouphail, NCSU

Statistical Aspects: Jerome Sacks, NISS

9:30 Open discussion of the four questions as they relate to transportation modeling

10:00 Break

10:15 Resume plenary discussion

11:30 Synthesis of the discussion (by the session rapporteur)

11:45 Lunch

Immune System Modeling

1:00 James Hyman, LANL, Moderator

Models: Alan Perelson, LANL

Statistical Aspects: Peter Bickel, University of California at Berkeley

2:00 Open discussion of the four questions as they relate to immune system modeling

3:00 Break

3:15 Resume plenary discussion

4:00 Thomas Kepler, North Carolina State, Rapporteur/synthesizer

4:15 Identification and discussion of overall workshop results

5:15 Adjourn