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Current Projects
Panel on Estimates of Poverty for Small Geographic Areas
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Background
As mandated by the reauthorization of the Elementary and Secondary Education Act, the Committee on National Statistics (CNSTAT) convened a panel of experts to study methods for producing and evaluating poverty estimates for small geographic areas. The panel will: (1) review the Bureau of the Census program for providing income and poverty estimates for small geographic areas; (2) investigate and propose alternative estimation strategies; (3) identify data sources and topics for further research; (4) assess the reliability of the poverty estimates, particularly for less populous geographic areas and when the estimates are compared over time with those reported from the most recent decennial census; and (5) assess the usefulness, reliability, and quality of the estimates produced by the Census Bureau for allocating federal program funds.
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Publications
Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates: Priorities for 2000 and Beyond (2000)
In this report, the panel offered recommendations to the Census Bureau for future research and development that can lead to improved SAIPE estimates for use in programs that require updated small area income or poverty estimates for such purposes as fund allocation.
Small Area Estimates of School-Age Children in Poverty: Interim Report 3--Evaluation of 1995 County and School District Estimates for Title I Allocations (1999)
In this report, the panel concludes that although the Census Bureau's 1995 estimates of poor school-age children have potentially large errors for many school districts, they are not inappropriate or unreliable to use for direct Title I allocations to districts as intended by the 1994 legislation.
Small-Area Estimates of School-Age Children in Poverty: Interim Report 2--Evaluation of Revised 1993 County Estimates for Title I Allocations (1998) $33.50
In the report, the panel recommended that the Census Bureau's revised 1993 county estimates of poor school-age children be used for Title I allocations for the 1998-1999 school year. They should not be averaged with 1990 census estimates as was done for the 1997-1998 allocations.
Small-Area Estimates of School-Age Children in Poverty: Interim Report 1--Evaluation of 1993 County Estimates for Title I Allocations (1997) $15.00
The panel recommended that Title I allocations for the 1997-1998 school year be made by averaging county estimates of poor school-age children from the Census Bureau's model for 1993 with 1990 census estimates. There had not been sufficient time to evaluate the model-based estimates to justify their sole use for Title I allocations.
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Roster
Click here for brief biographical information on panel members
- GRAHAM KALTON (Chair), Westat, Rockville, Maryland
- DAVID M. BETSON, Department of Economics, University of Notre Dame
- NANCY DUNTON, Midwest Research Institute, Kansas City, MO
- WAYNE A. FULLER, Department of Statistics, Iowa State University
- THOMAS B. JABINE, Consultant, Washington, D.C.
- SYLVIA T. JOHNSON, Journal of Negro Education, Howard University
- THOMAS A. LOUIS, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota
- SALLY C. MORTON, RAND, Santa Monica, California
- JEFFREY S. PASSEL, The Urban Institute, Washington, D.C.
- J.N.K. RAO, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Carleton University
- ALLEN E. SCHIRM, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., Washington, D.C.
- PAUL R. VOSS, Department of Rural Sociology, University of Wisconsin
- JAMES H. WYCKOFF, Graduate School of Public Affairs, State University of New York, Albany
- ALAN M. ZASLAVASKY, Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School
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Staff
- Constance Citro, Study Director
- Michael L. Cohen, Senior Program Officer
- Meyer Zitter, Consultant
- Jamie Casey, Research Assistant
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